See What the World Actually Believes
Collective Intelligence Through Forecasts Backed by Real Stakes
When predictions cost money, honesty follows. We capture not just what people predict, but why they believe it.
100+
Active Markets
7
Categories
1st
MENA Intelligence Platform
∞
Insights Generated
Will UAE GDP growth exceed 5% in 2026?
The UAE economy continues its diversification beyond oil. This market resolves YES if the UAE's official GDP growth rate for 2026 exceeds 5%, as reported by the Federal Competitiveness and Statistics Centre.
58¢
+0.0%
Volume
$8.8M
Resolves
Mar 1, 2027
Time left
14mo
Collective Intelligence
Capture the WHY, not just WHAT
Built for Regulation
UAE GCGRA ready
Intelligence Rankings
Reputation by reasoning
Why Manshur is Different
Other platforms show you probabilities. We show you why people believe them, creating collective intelligence.
Intelligence Capture™
Every trade includes reasoning. Quick tags + detailed thesis create a dataset of human forecasting intelligence.
Forecaster IQ
Reputation based on reasoning quality, not just returns. Be recognized for HOW you think, not just accuracy.
Collective Insights
See what the smartest predictors are thinking. Learn from the best reasoning, not just the best results.
How Collective Intelligence Works
Every prediction makes the platform smarter
Predict
Buy YES or NO contracts on real-world events
Reason
Share WHY you're making this prediction
Resolve
Markets settle based on real outcomes
Learn
See which reasoning led to correct predictions
The result: A platform that gets smarter with every prediction.
